Prediction Market Tremors
We watch Polymarket for sharp repricings, outsized notional flow, and the sort of collective shiver that suggests somebody knows, fears, or imagines something first.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 1.0% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Open marketNewest first, with the sharpest narrative on top.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.4% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.5% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 1.0% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
The market reflects the probability of Harvey Weinstein serving additional prison time, considering recent legal developments and health issues.
Will Harvey Weinstein serve additional prison time?
The market reflects the probability of a 2024 U.S. presidential election occurring, based on current political dynamics and constitutional requirements.
Will there be a 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.4% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.5% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 1.0% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal. Weinstein, now 74 and serving a 16-year Los Angeles sentence while appealing that verdict, faces documented health challenges including cancer, diabetes, and cardiac issues that have required hospital stays. These procedural setbacks, combined with his advanced age and ongoing appeals, have created substantial uncertainty around additional incarceration, outweighing the 2025 split verdict on other counts. Upcoming decisions on retrial and sentencing will be key near-term catalysts.
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.4% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.5% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward 'No Prison Time' as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal.
Will Harvey Weinstein receive a prison sentence in 2026?
The market reflects trader sentiment on whether a presidential election will occur in the United States in 2024, with a dominant outcome of 'Yes'.
Will there be a presidential election in the United States in 2024?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.5% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.5% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward 'No Prison Time' as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal. Weinstein, now 74 and serving a 16-year Los Angeles sentence while appealing that verdict, faces documented health challenges including cancer, diabetes, and cardiac issues that have required hospital stays. These procedural setbacks, combined with his advanced age and ongoing appeals, have created substantial uncertainty around additional incarceration, outweighing the 2025 split verdict on other counts. Upcoming decisions on retrial and sentencing will be key near-term catalysts.
Will Harvey Weinstein receive a prison sentence by July 31, 2026?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.4% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.6% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward 'No Prison Time' as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal.
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
Market shows Trump at 58% probability of winning, with Biden at 42%. Recent polling trends and campaign dynamics influence the odds.
2024 U.S. Presidential Election: Will Donald Trump win the presidency?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.4% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.6% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
The camera is cool
Will the camera be cool?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.3% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.6% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward "No Prison Time" as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal.
Will Harvey Weinstein serve prison time by July 31, 2026?
The 2024 US presidential election is scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024, as per standard election cycles.
Will there be a US presidential election in 2024?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.2% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? moved with 0.5% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward 'No Prison Time' as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal. Weinstein, now 74 and serving a 16-year Los Angeles sentence while appealing that verdict, faces documented health challenges including cancer, diabetes, and cardiac issues that have required hospital stays. These procedural setbacks, combined with his advanced age and ongoing appeals, have created substantial uncertainty around additional incarceration, outweighing the 2025 split verdict on other counts. Upcoming decisions on retrial and sentencing will be key near-term catalysts.
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward 'No Prison Time' as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds, leaving prosecutors weighing a potential fourth attempt amid juror reports favoring acquittal. Weinstein, now 74 and serving a 16-year Los Angeles sentence while appealing that verdict, faces documented health challenges including cancer, diabetes, and cardiac issues that have required hospital stays. These procedural setbacks, combined with his advanced age and ongoing appeals, have created substantial uncertainty around additional incarceration, outweighing the 2025 split verdict on other counts. Upcoming decisions on retrial and sentencing will be key near-term catalysts.
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? moved with 1.1% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? moved with 0.9% weekly repricing, $0 recent large-trade flow, and 0 notable prints.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent mistrials and overturned convictions in New York have driven trader sentiment toward 'No Prison Time' as the dominant outcome. The May 2026 hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge marked the second failed retrial after the 2020 conviction was reversed on evidentiary grounds.
Will Harvey Weinstein receive a prison sentence by July 31, 2026?
The market reflects a 65% probability of Joe Biden winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, with Donald Trump at 35%. Recent polling trends and economic indicators are influencing trader sentiment.
Who will win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
The market moved 15.8% over the past month, reflecting shifting sentiment around Harvey Weinstein's sentencing, though recent trade volume remains low.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market moved 0.8% weekly, with no recent large trades or notable prints, reflecting ongoing uncertainty around sentencing.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market moved with a 16.7% monthly repricing, indicating shifting sentiment around Weinstein's sentencing, though no notable recent trades occurred.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market moved with a 15.9% monthly repricing, showing notable shifts in trader sentiment despite no recent large trades.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market for Harvey Weinstein's prison sentence has moved 15.2% over the past month, reflecting ongoing legal uncertainty and recent retrial setbacks.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market for Harvey Weinstein's prison sentence moved with a 15.5% monthly repricing, though it lacks recent trade activity or notable prints.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market moved 15.8% over the month with minimal recent trading activity, reflecting ongoing uncertainty around the retrial.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
The market moved 14.2% over the month, with no recent large trades or notable prints, reflecting ongoing legal uncertainty.
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
A significant buy order for the 'No' outcome in the Putin exit market has pushed the price up, indicating strong trader confidence in his continued tenure through 2026.
Putin out as President of Russia by...?